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North India retailers pivot to trans-seasonal apparel as warm winter triggers 25% sales slump

27 December 2025, Mumbai

Apparel retailers in North India are navigating a turbulent 2025-26 fiscal end as an unseasonably mild winter disrupts the sector's most profitable quarter. Despite an early arrival of the season, daytime temperatures in Delhi and surrounding regions have remained 2–5°C above normal, according to recent IMD data. This thermal anomaly has caused a staggering 20-25 per cent decline in winter-wear sales, leaving major chains like V-Mart and Lifestyle grappling with a surplus of heavy outerwear.

Strategic shifts in product portfolios

The crisis is forcing a ‘margin-led’ recalibration. Retailers are now pivoting toward ‘trans-seasonal’ clothing - lightweight layers and versatile athleisure - to offset the lack of demand for heavy jackets. ‘Winter typically contributes up to 40 per cent of our annual revenue, but with the persistent 'indoor chill' rather than a true cold wave, we are seeing a clear consumer shift toward functional, lighter fabrics,’ notes a senior executive from a leading value-retail chain.

Impact on 2026 fiscal outlook

While the India thermal and winter wear market is valued at approximately $13.5 billion, the current inventory pile-up could lead to aggressive early markdowns, potentially squeezing Q4 margins by 150-200 basis points. However, the sector remains optimistic for 2026, betting on AI-driven demand forecasting and a "Bharat surge" in Tier II cities to stabilize long-term growth.

V-Mart Retail: The value-fashion powerhouse

India's leading value-retailer, V-Mart operates over 530 stores primarily in Tier II and III cities. Specializing in affordable family fashion, it serves the ‘aspirational middle class’ with a focus on high-volume apparel. Despite seasonal headwinds, V-Mart reported a 22 per cent Y-o-Y revenue growth in Q2 FY26.

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North India retailers pivot to trans-seasonal apparel as warm winter triggers 25% sales slump

Neo Stretch pivots to an offline powerhouse with fifth EBO in Hyderabad

27 December 2025, Mumbai

Neo Stretch is rapidly pivoting from a digital-first entity to an offline powerhouse, recently inaugurating its fifth exclusive brand outlet (EBO) at Lakeshore Y Junction Mall in Hyderabad. This launch is a strategic move to capture the high-growth South Indian market, where tech-driven professionals are increasingly abandoning rigid formals for ‘Performance Workwear.’ By the end of 2026, the brand aims to scale its physical presence to 50 stores, transitioning from an asset-light model to a robust ‘phygital’ retail network. This expansion aligns with a broader shift in the Indian menswear sector, which is projected to reach revenues of $14.7 billion by 2030, with bottom-wear and functional apparel leading the growth curve.

Technological edge and market resilience

The brand's competitive advantage lies in its proprietary 4-way stretch fabric, which offers wrinkle resistance and thermal regulation - features now deemed ‘non-negotiable’ by 81 per cent of modern consumers. To sustain a target ARR of Rs 700 crore in GMV, Neo Stretch is leveraging predictive AI to manage inventory across its expanding Pune, Bengaluru, and Hyderabad hubs. The brand’s goal is to support the dynamic lifestyle of the Indian man who demands transitions between travel, work, and leisure without a wardrobe change, says Rishi Agarwal, Founder and Brand Director. This focus on ‘Extra-Ordinary’ essentials is helping the brand maintain an EBITDA margin of 9-11 per cent, even as rising raw material costs challenge traditional garment manufacturers.

Neo Stretch: Engineering the future of men’s fashion

Founded in 2023, Neo Stretch is a premium menswear brand specializing in high-performance apparel crafted from advanced stretch fabrics. Operating in major hubs like Bengaluru and Hyderabad, the brand targets a 50-store milestone by 2027. Backed by Donear Group’s textile expertise, it currently maintains a strong D2C presence with 50% repeat customer rates.

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Neo Stretch pivots to an offline powerhouse with fifth EBO in Hyderabad

Retail real estate sector to surpass 7.5 million sq ft in annual leasing activity

24 December 2025, Mumbai

India’s retail real estate sector has reached a defining milestone, with annual leasing activity projected to surpass 7.5 million sq ft.

This post-pandemic high represents a structural shift in the apparel industry, where international ‘fast-glam’ brands and domestic ethnic-wear giants are aggressively securing prime floor space.

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While e-commerce remains a powerhouse, the physical storefront has been reinvented as a high-conversion brand temple.

This ‘physical-first’ strategy is particularly evident in Tier-I cities, where Grade-A mall vacancies have plummeted to sub-8 per cent levels, driving a rental appreciation of nearly 12 per cent Y-o-Y.

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Fashion hubs drive the Grade-A gold rush

The current leasing boom is fundamentally a fashion-led phenomenon. Apparel and lifestyle brands accounted for over 45 per cent of total absorption this year.

Major international players like Uniqlo and H&M are moving beyond flagship metros into high-growth corridors like Pune and Hyderabad, while domestic behemoths such as Reliance Retail and Trent are fueling a ‘mega-format’ trend.

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These 20,000+ sq ft stores are designed to offer ‘retail-tainment,’ blending digital kiosks with sensory fabric lounges. Real estate analysts note, for every dollar spent on digital ads, brands are now reallocating a significant portion toward high-visibility physical footprints to combat online customer acquisition costs.

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Tier-II expansion and the challenge of premium supply

The roadmap for 2026 suggests a supply-side crunch as the primary hurdle. With demand outstripping the delivery of new premium malls, retailers are pivoting to high-street ‘boutique’ clusters and revitalized heritage zones.

This has catalyzed a retail revolution in Tier-II cities like Chandigarh and Kochi, which saw a 25 per cent growth in leasing volume this quarter alone.

SUSTAINABILITY

‘The challenge isn't the appetite for fashion; it’s the availability of quality shelves,’ says a leading mall developer.

As brands prepare for the 2026 fiscal cycle, the focus is shifting toward ‘pre-commitment\’ leasing in upcoming sustainable, LEED-certified retail parks to align with global ESG mandates.

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Indo-western fashion pivot: Brands bet on AI and ‘Bharat’ to fuel 2026 growth

27 December 2025, Mumbai

As the Indian fusion wear segment prepares for a projected 10 per cent CAGR through 2027, a new design language is emerging: the ‘Un-Ethnic’ ethnic. In 2026, the market is moving beyond basic kurtis toward high-concept silhouettes like lehengas paired with structured blazers and hand-painted motifs on modern tailored jackets. This $20 billion sub-sector is now being led by a ‘Bharat surge,’ where shoppers in cities like Bengaluru and Indore are demanding ‘Butter Belle’ yellows and muted charcoal tones over traditional brights. This shift reflects a multifaceted identity where comfort meets cultural depth.

AI: The new tailor for retail efficiency

To manage the logistical complexity of 150-store networks, premium labels are integrating Generative AI to predict regional trends with 20 per cent-50 per cent greater accuracy. By 2026, AI is no longer a luxury but a core operational pillar, automating everything from fabric defect detection to hyper-personalized ‘visual search’ where customers upload photos to find matching styles. Industry data suggests that retailers combining this tech-driven personalization with a disciplined ‘phygital’ (physical + digital) model are seeing 11 per cent Y-o-Y sales growth, particularly as they tap into the rising financial independence of the female workforce.

Margin-led expansion over volume

The 2026 retail roadmap is shifting from purely chasing volume to a margin-led recovery. Despite rising rentals and a 12 per cent retail talent shortage, brands are finding a ‘silver lining’ in GST rationalization and income tax relief. This fiscal cushion is enabling premium players to earmark significant capital - often upwards of Rs 20 crore - for aggressive offline footprints. By focusing on high-consumption urban centers and tourism-led shopping districts, the sector is successfully bridging the gap between value-driven ‘Bharat’ and the affluent urban elite.

Chique: Redefining premium fusion wear

Chique is a Delhi-founded premium womenswear brand specializing in Indo-Western fusion. Targeting urban professionals across India and the UAE, the label is scaling to 150 stores by 2028. With an ARR goal of Rs 150 crore for 2026, Chique leverages AI to blend artisanal craftsmanship with modern logistics.

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Indo-western fashion pivot: Brands bet on AI and ‘Bharat’ to fuel 2026 growth

Raymond’s Century of Style: Scaling textile legacy through ‘Multi-Format’ fashion growth, operational discipline

24 December 2025, Mumbai

Raymond is marking its 100th anniversary by converting its historic dominance in worsted fabrics into a high-octane retail expansion. In an interview conducted by The Economic Times, Chairman Gautam Hari Singhania emphasized how the company’s endurance is a product of operational discipline rather than historical sentiment. To secure its future, the group has completed a massive structural overhaul, demerging its lifestyle business into a standalone, net debt-free entity. This move is designed to eliminate the "conglomerate discount," allowing the textile and apparel verticals to pursue specialized growth with absolute financial clarity.

Corporate restructuring delivers sharp profitability gains

The strategy of unbundling the business is already delivering measurable results. In Q2 FY26, Raymond Lifestyle reported a consolidated revenue of ₹1,865 crore, representing an 8% year-on-year increase. More significantly, profit after tax surged by 78% to ₹75 crore. This growth is underpinned by the "Branded Textile" segment, which contributed ₹937 crore to the top line. By focusing on high-margin garmenting and a "China Plus One" sourcing strategy, the company is positioning its manufacturing units as a global alternative for premium international brands while simultaneously doubling down on domestic retail presence.

Wedding wear strategy targets high-margin growth

The company’s growth roadmap is stitched into the booming ethnic wear segment through "Ethnix by Raymond," which aims to capture 7% of the men’s ceremonial market by 2027. Currently operating 1,663 stores, the brand is penetrating deep into Tier 2 and Tier 3 markets. Explaining his philosophy on navigating competitive shifts, Singhania noted during the interview: "A race is not won on straight roads alone; it is often won on the corners." By aggressively scaling its physical footprint and prioritizing premiumization, Raymond is ensuring its second century is defined by retail dominance rather than just textile history.

Founded in 1925 as a woolen mill in Maharashtra, Raymond Group has evolved into a diversified global conglomerate with a core focus on textiles and apparel. The company maintains a presence in over 60 countries and owns a portfolio of high-equity brands including Park Avenue, ColorPlus, and Parx. Under the leadership of Gautam Singhania, the group has successfully transitioned into a net debt-free lifestyle and real estate player. With a current roadmap to add 900 new stores by 2028, Raymond remains positioned as a leader in India’s $6 trillion consumer economy, supported by a century of expertise in fabric manufacturing and garmenting.

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Raymond’s Century of Style: Scaling textile legacy through ‘Multi-Format’ fashion growth, operational discipline

Tier II and III cities to lead India’s $1.3 trillion retail revolution in 2026

27 December 2025, Mumbai

As India consolidates its position as the world’s third-largest retail market, the sector is pivoting from volume-led expansion to a high-margin, tech-integrated era. By 2026, India’s retail industry is projected to surpass US$1.3 trillion, with a striking 65 per cent of online demand expected to originate from non-metropolitan areas. This ‘Bharat surge’ is fundamentally reshaping the landscape, as Tier II and III cities like Raipur, Indore, and Lucknow transition from secondary markets to primary growth engines for global fashion brands.

Premiumisation and the value retail boom

The upcoming fiscal year will be defined by a dual-track growth strategy: the aggressive rise of value retail and a deepening trend of premiumisation. While value players like V-Mart and Zudio have more than doubled their footprints to tap into the price-sensitive middle class, premium brands are witnessing a 90 per cent Y-o-Y growth in leasing activity. As noted by industry experts, the shift is no longer just about access but about ‘principled consumption,’ where Gen Z shoppers in smaller towns are increasingly demanding sustainability and global trends at competitive price points.

Operational resilience amid rising hurdles

Despite the optimism, the industry faces a 2026 marked by ‘margin-led’ discipline. Retailers are battling rising rentals and a 10–12 per cent talent shortage in specialized retail roles. To counter these, leaders like Reliance Retail and NewMe are leveraging Generative AI to optimize supply chains and offer hyper-personalized ‘Quick Commerce’ for apparel. Structural reforms, including GST rationalization on garments under Rs 2,500, are expected to add a 200-basis-point boost to organized retail, providing the fiscal cushion needed for this massive infrastructure leap.

The Indian retail sector is a diversified US$1.1 trillion powerhouse currently shifting toward a formal, digitally-enabled ecosystem. Dominated by apparel, food, and electronics, the market is moving toward ‘Experience Retail’ with 16.6 million sq. ft. of new mall space arriving by 2026. Historically fragmented, the industry’s outlook is now ‘highly optimistic,’ targeting a 12.8 per cent CAGR through 2030, supported by record-low inflation and robust urban-rural consumption.

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Tier II and III cities to lead India’s $1.3 trillion retail revolution in 2026

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